Predicting the future of video games can be tricky, but based on recent trends, Spider-Man 3 is headed for trouble. Spider-Man 2 rode the success of its predecessor, yet it introduced elements that divided players. While the first game delivered strong combat, a gripping storyline, and stayed clear of controversy, its sequels progressively leaned into social messaging.

The Miles Morales spin-off was generally well-received, but Spider-Man 2 brought in what some consider unnecessary political symbolism, self-insert characters, and forced inclusivity. Interestingly, the Middle Eastern version of the game omitted these elements, sparking debates on whether such changes impact sales.

Now, with Spider-Man 3 placing Miles as the sole protagonist, the game’s success will no longer be buoyed by Peter Parker’s popularity or pre-order momentum. If trends continue, pre-order numbers will decline, and defenders of the game will be quick to attribute criticism to race rather than consumer disinterest. Just like The Marvels, expect a campaign to shield it from failure.

Will Spider-Man 3 defy expectations, or will it crumble under its own weight? Time will tell.